\n1. \u00a0What is vital is to stay in touch with reality. Coronavirus is not a piece of political ideology that somebody made up. It is a real, physical enemy. Those deaths in hospital corridors are real. Dr. Fauci really does know more about viruses than you do. And so on.<\/p>\n
Our enemy is speculation \u2014 people who can’t distinguish “it might be” from “it certainly is,” and who promote unconfirmed possibilities as if they were confirmed truth. See also (9) and (10) below.<\/p>\n
\ud604\uc2e4\uc744 \uc9c1\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uac83, \ucf54\ub85c\ub098\ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1\uc801, \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uace0 \ubb3c\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcd1\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \uc218\uc5c6\uc774 \uc8fd\uc5b4\uac00\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc2e4, Dr. Fauci (NIH \uc804\uc5fc\ubcd1, \ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4 \ucc45\uc784\uc790) \uac00 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc774 \ubcd1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c \ub354 \ub9ce\uc774 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc774\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc801\uc740 \uadfc\uac70 \uc5c6\uc774 \ucd94\uce21\ud558\ub294 \uac83, \uc2e4\uc99d\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \ubd80\ucd94\uae30\ub294 \uac83\ub4e4\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
2. \u00a0Ignoring the virus was never an option. We’ve had 22,000 deaths. Would you rather have had half a million? You could easily have had that, if there had been no restrictions.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4\ub97c \ubb34\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uac83, \uc5b8\uc5b4\ub3c4\ub2e8\uc774\ub2e4. 22,000 \uba85\uc774 \ubc8c\uc368 \uc8fd\uc5c8\ub2e4. 50\ub9cc \uba85\uc774 \uc8fd\ub294 \uac83, \uc0ac\ud68c\uc801 \uc81c\ud55c \uc870\ucc98\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc73c\uba74 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uac00\ub2a5\ud588\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
3. \u00a0Our restrictions have paid off. Quite possibly, hundreds of thousands of lives have been saved. The national new-case rate peaked a few days ago. State by state, some states are going to have much later and lower peaks, which is a good thing.<\/p>\n
[Afterthought: Models may have been inaccurate, but there’s no denying that the virus spread a lot less with our lockdowns than it would have without them.]<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub7f0 \uc0ac\ud68c\uc801 \uc81c\ud55c\uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc131\uacfc\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\uace0 \uc218\uc2ed\ub9cc\uc758 \uc0dd\uba85\uc744 \ubcf4\ud638\ud588\ub2e4. \ud655\uc9c4\uc790\uc758 \uc218\uac00 \uc774\uc81c \uace0\ube44\ub97c \uc9c0\ub098\uace0, \uac01 \uc8fc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2a6\uac8c \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uace0\ube44\uac00 \uc62c \uac83\uc778\ub370 \uc774\uac83\uc740 \uc88b\uc740 \uc18c\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4 \ud655\uc0b0 \uc815\ub3c4\ub294 \ud655\uc2e4\ud788 \uc0ac\ud68c\uc801 \uc81c\ud55c, \ubd09\uc1c4\uc870\ucc98\uc640 \ube44\ub840\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4. The virus would have damaged our economy no matter what we did (even if we had ignored it and just let a lot of people die). The reason you didn’t hear economists objecting to those stimulus payments is that knowledgable people recognized that a rise in the national debt would be better than sudden mass poverty.<\/p>\n
\uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc870\ucc98\ub97c \ucde8\ud588\ub4e0 \uac04\uc5d0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc758 \uc815\ub3c4\ub294 \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\uc600\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uac10\uc5fc\uc790, \uc0ac\ub9dd\uc790\uc758 \uc22b\uc790\ub294 \uc0c1\uad00\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\u00a0 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc2dc\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ubcf4\uc870\uae08\uc744 \uc900 \uac83\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\ub780\uc758 \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub358 \uac83\uc740, \uc54c\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774\uba74 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub3d9\uc758\ud558\ub4ef\uc774 ‘\ube5a\uc744 \uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \ubaa8\ub450\uac00 \uac00\ub09c\ud574 \uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ab\ub2e4’ \ub77c\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5. \u00a0Our economy can’t sustain forever what it sustained for a month. Damage to the economy itself causes deaths, not only here but (perhaps even more so) in poorer nations that rely on us for trade.<\/p>\n
\ud604\uc7ac \uba87 \uac1c\uc6d4 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc740 \ubb34\uae30\ud55c \uc624\ub798\uac08 \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \ud53c\ud574\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\ub9dd\uc790\ub97c \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\uace0,\u00a0 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ube48\uace4\uad6d\uc740 \ub354\uc6b1 \ub354 \ud070 \ud53c\ud574\ub97c \uc785\uc744 \uac83\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
6. \u00a0We are going to have to do some kind of gradual, careful reopening of the economy, starting with businesses that don’t involve crowds of strangers.<\/p>\n
\uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc544\uc8fc \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \ucc9c\ucc9c\ud788 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac00\ub3d9\uc2dc\ucf1c\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 ‘\uc804\ud600 \ubaa8\ub974\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \ub9ce\uc774 \ubaa8\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294’ \uadf8\ub7f0 \uc0ac\uc5c5, \uac00\uac8c \ubd80\ud130 \uc81c\ud55c\uc744 \ud480\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
7.\u00a0 With the wider availability of coronavirus tests, some experts are recommending a shift to a strategy of restricting only people who are known to be infected and their immediate contacts. I hope this proves feasible.<\/p>\n
\ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uac8c \uc2e4\uc2dc\ub420 \ub54c, \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uac10\uc5fc\uc790\ub098 \uadf8\uc640 \uc811\ucd09\ud55c \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\ub9cc \uace8\ub77c\uc11c \uac70\uc8fc\uc81c\ud55c\uc744 \ud558\uc5ec\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uad8c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc29\ubc95\uc758 \uc2e4\ud589\uc774 \uc5b4\ub835\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30\ub97c \ubc14\ub77c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
8. \u00a0The virus will linger. For a couple of years, we are going to have to behave as if we were in a bad flu season, continuing to take some precautions.<\/p>\n
\ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4\ub294 \uc9c8\uc9c8 \ub04c\uba70 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uba87 \ub144 \ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\uac83\ub3c4 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ub3c5\uac10 \uac19\uc774 \ucde8\uae09\uc744 \ud558\uba70 \uc0b4\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc774\uace0 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc870\uc2ec\uc744 \ud558\uba70 \uc0b4\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
9. I know you’ve heard that some people say the virus escaped from a lab in China. Please be assured that many governments around the world are looking at this, and that they know more about it than you do, and are going to pay attention. In the meantime, it doesn’t affect what we need to do going forward.<\/p>\n
[Afterthought: The lab thing is a red herring. Even if it was just bad sanitation, it was an international hazard that came from China. Flu epidemics have been coming from China with some regularity. This can’t go on.<\/p>\n
\uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098\ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4\uac00 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0c8\uc5b4 \ub098\uc628 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub9ce\uc774\ub4e4 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc6b0\ub9ac \ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc138\uacc4\uc758 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc815\ubd80\uae30\uad00\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\uac83\uc744 \uc870\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \uadf8\ub4e4\uc774 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub4e4 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc815\ud655\ud55c \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\u00a0 \uadf8\uac83\uc774 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c8 \ub54c\uac00\uc9c0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub4e4\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ub178\ub825\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ube44\ub85d \uc774 \uc911\uad6d \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uc774\uc57c\uae30\ub294 \ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uc911\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\ud130 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud55c \ub9ce\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\ub4e4, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub3c5\uac10 \uc5ed\ubcd1 \uac19\uc740 \uac83\uc740 \uac70\uc758 \uc815\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4\uc11c \uc774\ub807\uac8c \uacc4\uc18d \uac08 \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
10. There is research on hydroxychloroquine and other drugs that might kill the virus. Please let medical research proceed, and don’t spend your time trumpeting one success story without knowing whether others have gotten the same results.<\/p>\n
[\ube60\uac00 \ub610\ub77c\uc774] \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 ‘\uc790\uae30\uc758 \uc9c1\uac10\uc73c\ub85c’ \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \ud2b9\ud6a8\uc57d\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcfc \ub54c\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc5b8\uae09\ud558\ub358 \uc774\uac83 [\uc77d\uae30\ub3c4 \ud798\ub4e0 \ud654\ud559\uc6a9\uc5b4]\uc740 \uadf8\uc57c\ub9d0\ub85c \uba39\uc744 \ub54c \uae30\ub3c4\ub97c \uc798 \ud558\uba74 \ub0ab\uac8c \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uadf8\ub7f0 \uc885\ub958\uc778\ub370… ‘\uacfc\ud559\uc801’\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\uc774\ub098 \uc99d\uba85\uc774 \ub418\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \uc120\uc804\ud558\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uac83 \uba39\uace0 5\ub144 \ud6c4\uc5d0 ‘\ud655\uc2e4\ud788’ \uc0ac\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc774\ub974\uba74…\u00a0 [\uc774\uac83\uc740 \ub098\uc758 \ucca0\uc800\ud55c \uc0c1\uc0c1\uc801 \uc758\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud568]<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \uc0ac\ud0dc\uc758 \ud76c\uc0dd\uc81c\ubb3c, \ub3d9\ub124 \uc131\ub2f9\uc758 sanctuary\uac00 \uad73\uac8c \ubb38\uc744 \ub2eb\uc558\ub2e4 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \uc0ac\ud0dc\uc758 \uc120\ubb3c: \uac00\uc871\ub4e4\uacfc\uc758 \uc990\uac70\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \ubcf4\uc774\uac8c \ub298\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub2e4 \u00b6\u00a0 \uadf8\uc81c\uc758 \uc5f4\ub300\uc131 stormy day \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0 \uac11\uc790\uae30 \uc2f8\ub298\ud574\uc9c4 \ub0a0\uc528, \ubc14\ub78c\uc774 \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \uc2f8\ub298\ud560 \uc218\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4.\u00a0 \uc774\ub978\ubd04\uc5d0\u00a0 \ud754\ud788 \ubcf4\ub294\u00a0 \ubc14\ub78c\uc774 \uc2f8\ub298\ud55c, \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucc2c\ub780\ud55c \ud0dc\uc591\uc774 \uc791\uc5f4\ud558\ub294 \ub0a0, \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uac00 \ube60\uc9c4 \ub4ef\ud55c \ub290\ub08c\uc744 \ub2ec\ub798\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c \uac70\uc758 \ud55c\ub2ec \uc5ec \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub3d9\ub124\ubcf8\ub2f9 Holy Family\uc131\ub2f9\uc73c\ub85c […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ocean_post_layout":"","ocean_both_sidebars_style":"","ocean_both_sidebars_content_width":0,"ocean_both_sidebars_sidebars_width":0,"ocean_sidebar":"","ocean_second_sidebar":"","ocean_disable_margins":"enable","ocean_add_body_class":"","ocean_shortcode_before_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_after_top_bar":"","ocean_shortcode_before_header":"","ocean_shortcode_after_header":"","ocean_has_shortcode":"","ocean_shortcode_after_title":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_widgets":"","ocean_shortcode_before_footer_bottom":"","ocean_shortcode_after_footer_bottom":"","ocean_display_top_bar":"default","ocean_display_header":"default","ocean_header_style":"","ocean_center_header_left_menu":"","ocean_custom_header_template":"","ocean_custom_logo":0,"ocean_custom_retina_logo":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_width":0,"ocean_custom_logo_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_tablet_max_height":0,"ocean_custom_logo_mobile_max_height":0,"ocean_header_custom_menu":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_family":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_subset":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_size":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_font_size_unit":"px","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_font_weight_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_tablet":"","ocean_menu_typo_transform_mobile":"","ocean_menu_typo_line_height":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_line_height_unit":"","ocean_menu_typo_spacing":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_tablet":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_mobile":0,"ocean_menu_typo_spacing_unit":"","ocean_menu_link_color":"","ocean_menu_link_color_hover":"","ocean_menu_link_color_active":"","ocean_menu_link_background":"","ocean_menu_link_hover_background":"","ocean_menu_link_active_background":"","ocean_menu_social_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_bg":"","ocean_menu_social_links_color":"","ocean_menu_social_hover_links_color":"","ocean_disable_title":"default","ocean_disable_heading":"default","ocean_post_title":"","ocean_post_subheading":"","ocean_post_title_style":"","ocean_post_title_background_color":"","ocean_post_title_background":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_image_position":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_attachment":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_repeat":"","ocean_post_title_bg_image_size":"","ocean_post_title_height":0,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay":0.5,"ocean_post_title_bg_overlay_color":"","ocean_disable_breadcrumbs":"default","ocean_breadcrumbs_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_separator_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_color":"","ocean_breadcrumbs_links_hover_color":"","ocean_display_footer_widgets":"default","ocean_display_footer_bottom":"default","ocean_custom_footer_template":"","h5ap_radio_sources":[],"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"ocean_post_oembed":"","ocean_post_self_hosted_media":"","ocean_post_video_embed":"","ocean_link_format":"","ocean_link_format_target":"self","ocean_quote_format":"","ocean_quote_format_link":"post","ocean_gallery_link_images":"on","ocean_gallery_id":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[176,104,170],"class_list":["post-16825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-daybook","tag-covid-19","tag-104","tag-170","entry"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16825"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16825\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18954,"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16825\/revisions\/18954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/serony.com\/ken\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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